In the spirit of this shocking, profound and in-no-way-just-rubber-stamping-what-already-eminently-evident news; I have decided to officially endorse my support of Mario Games, Pizza, 80s Metal and the first two “Spider-Man” movies.
Incidentally, this comes on the heels of the whole “Chik-fil-A” debacle, which is set to become even more absurd on Wednesday as “luminaries” like Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin have encouraged their fans/followers to show pride in their bigotry by making August 1st “Chik-fil-A” day. Here’s an idea: I plan on making it a point to buy/eat some chicken from a competitor on that day as a form of counter-protest, and I encourage my readers/followers/fans to do the same. In fact, if anyone wants to Tweet a picture of themselves eating non-CFA chicken to me (@the_moviebob) on that day, maybe I’ll post some of them here.
Anyway…
This is one of those moments where the realities of 24/7 digital-age politics smash up against our stuck-in-the-1900s election choreography: EVERYBODY already knows that the Democrats, as a party, are nominally on the side of LGBT activism, but this will be the first time it’s ever been written into the “Party Plank” – a list of “official positions” whose convention-time adoption was the subject of much ceremony and fanfare in the days when news only traveled at the speed of train. Still, it’s big news and will be treated as such if it’s indeed going to happen. Important step, piece of history, where-were-you-when, etc.
What interests me is what this says about where the DNC’s collective “head” is at and what it means for how the election will actually play out. Three things immediately jump to mind:
1. Ambiguity Is Over
If nothing else, this is the Democrats aquiescing to a reality the Republicans set up way ahead of them: There’s no “middle ground” this time. This is now officially a “versus” election, where in spite of all the decrying of “divisiveness” you’ll hear from all sides division is the entire goal; casting the choice in such stark terms – Red vs. Blue, White America vs. Multicultural America, Nativist vs. Globalist, Secular vs. Religious, Reason vs. Belief, Tradition vs. Future, Family Values vs. New Normal – that as many would-be voters as possible are spurred to “get off the sidelines” and choose a side (or completely tune out, which can be just as useful to the same ends); with each team gambling that “they’re guys” will be more motivated to pack the polls. The DNC will be saying to pro-LGBT Americans “This is WAR, the prize is your rights, we’ve got your back, now get out there and kick some ass.”
2. The DNC Is Either Confident Of A Win Or Preparing To Lose
As a rule of thumb, politicians and political parties don’t take controversial positions during elections unless they feel they’ve already won or already lost. While taking this position probably won’t make THE difference for Obama’s numbers vs. Romney’s, it will probably make things tighter. Either way, while this is a politically “risky” move (more in a bit) it’s unquestionably a good move for Democrats long-term. LGBT rights, as part of the broader “social issues” package, is the #1 thing that seperates Generations X and Y from their parents and grandparents as a voting demographic; and this is the clearest signal the Dems have sent in quite some time that they’re the party for them. Even if they lose this election, it’s a step toward securing a bloc for next time.
3. Win Or Lose, The DNC Is Writing-Off “Red America.”
If you want a “macro” of the politics of this manuever, it’s that The DNC is willing to concede the previously-swingable (via Labor Union connections) “Blue Collar” demographic (in poli-speak: working-class white people, predominatly rural-rooted and family/church-centered) to Republicans for the forseeable future. Short-term risk, but long-term likely-payoff. The fact is, the “Blue Collar” demo is on-track for continued shrinkage in the visible future: America is becoming less white, less reliant on (domestic) physical-labor and less “rooted” workwise – the jobs/industries with growth prospects are the ones better suited to single, mobile professionals concentrated in urbanized areas. So while becoming “The Party of Gay Rights” will unquestionably drive a not-insignificant portion of the Blue Collar demo to The Right; it’s a demo that might as well be an endangered-species electorally speaking – whatever percentage of the white/midwestern working-class Democrats lose over this will be made up for (with interest) by the two demographic megaton-bombs hanging over the near-future process: Boomers entering retirement age (expectation-of/reliance-on Social Security and Medicare = Democrat votes) and the potential permanent game-changer of either “amnesty” for undocumented immigrants or the children of said immigrants hitting voting age (Republicans eagerness to racially-scapegoat Latinos ensures most of these votes will not go to them.)
@Anonymous 12:10
African Americans aren't happy with Barack Obama. He's not addressing the issues that they want to talk about like Black unemployment which is at 14% and higher than the national average for starters. Worst of all is that they can't relate to them the same way Mitt Romney can't relate to the middle class.
The only people who support Obama are:
1. The white middle class who he's pandering to in swing states.
2. White people who think that electing the nation's first black president has proved that we as a nation have overcome racism.
3. Democrats who don't like how Obama handled his first term in office, and only voting for him because they don't want Mitt Romney to win the election.
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@ Shark
That's nonsense.
Here's how it stands:
Obama currently stands to win the election.
He his supported by black voters by about 90 percentage points over Romney, because no matter how annoyed they get at him, Romney is the kind of guy who likes to blame culture for economic hardship (see his recent trip to Israel) and that's bad news.
Obama is up by about 40 points among hispanic voters, because even though they're socially conservative as a bloc, they recognize that the Republican party remains the home for xenophobes like Jan Brewer.
He's behind among three important groups:
1. Men
2. White People
3. People making more than $100k a year.
Having said that, it's a close race, but please don't just make things up about it. There's data available. Here, you can look at it:
http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-2-12-Political-Release.1.pdf
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Sorry…he's also losing among people over 65 generally…but remember, he's winning every other age group, women generally, everyone making less than $100k a year, all minorities, and all regions including the South.
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@Anonymous
I'm not making things up. I'm telling you the truth. Eventually, He'll lose support among women, people making less than $100, all minorities, and every other age group and they'll vote for the other guy. People's political views aren't absolute and will change overtime just like their outlook on life.
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@ Shark
Well, anything's possible – but Romney's a terrible guy, and anyone who votes for him who isn't a 1-percenter is a fool; the data backs up my position. I think it's sort of scary that you think your opinion counts as knowledge, but that kind of sums up all conservative thought, doesn't it?
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